Six games, six wins – things couldn’t have gone better for Olympique Marseille in the last few weeks. Not only because l’OM secured second place in Ligue 1, but also because the “Phocéens” paved the way for the semi-finals of the newly introduced Conference League. During the week, there was at least a 2-1 win for Marseille in the quarter-final first leg against PAOK.
Before the second leg on the international stage, there is a home game against Montpellier HSC in Ligue 1. In contrast to Marseille, who still have to worry about second place, the guests from Montpellier don’t have any major goals this season in the current table situation. “La Paillade” can even end the season.
As expected, Olympique Marseille are classified as favorites by the best bookmakers for Sunday’s game. L’OM has not lost any of the last six competitive games against the upcoming opponent since November 2018. In the first half of the current season, Marseille beat Montpellier 3-2, and l’OM also eliminated MHSC in the cup.
Marseille vs Montpellier odds | 3 top tips
Betting odds as of: 04/09/2022, 12:44 p.m
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If you take a look at the latest form of “La Paillade”, there are hardly any arguments that would confirm a forecast for the guests. In all competitions, Montpellier HSC has only won two games in the last nine competitive games.
Our value tip:
at Unibet to 1.71
Marseille – Stats & current form
Marseille sets course for the Champions League. Because competitors like Stade Rennes and OGC Nice stumbled recently, l’OM took advantage of the moment and underpinned the second and thus last direct starting place for the premier class in Ligue 1. Marseille have 56 points after 30 games, a three-point lead over pursuers Brittany.
Since the last league defeat against AS Monaco, Olympique Marseille have won the last three matches in the French top flight. Marseille even won the last six competitive games in all competitions. During this period, l’OM scored at least two goals per win in every match. It is quite possible that this will also be followed up against Montpellier HSC.
In the last three league games against MHSC, Marseille have always celebrated at least three goals per match. Including the league game in the first half of the current season, in which l’OM bagged a well-deserved 3-2 win in Montpellier.
Will the home strength be reinforced at the Stade Velodrome?
At home, the next victory for l’OM is obvious in the current condition. Before the international break, head coach Jorge Sampaoli’s team had ended the mini home crisis in the league and scored three points after two home defeats in a row against OGC Nice. The table in Ligue 1 shows how important the recent league success at the Stade Velodrome was.
After all, Nice is a direct competitor in the race for starting places in the premier class. Marseille even scored two goals against the strongest defenses in Ligue 1, including a goal from Arkadiusz Milik. The Polish star striker of the “Phocéens” has already scored seven goals this season. Milik is currently unavailable due to injury.
Head coach Sampaoli will also be without the likes of Balerdi and de La Fuente. Big changes compared to the starting eleven, which was in action against PAOK during the week, are not to be expected. After all, Sampaoli cannot afford rotation in the narrow table constellation in the fight for the direct CL starting place.
Estimated formation of Marseille:
Mandanda-Kolasinac, Caleta-Car, Saliba, Rongier-Lirola-Kamara, Guendouzi-Payet, Dieng, Harit
Marseille last matches:
Montpellier – Stats & Current Form
Montpellier HSC is gradually finding its way back to its old strength. Nevertheless, the course of the season this season was not yet satisfactory. After all, the MHSC is in no man’s land in Ligue 1 after 30 match days and no longer has a realistic chance of an international starting place. At least “La Paillade” is spared the relegation battle.
Montpellier currently has a comfortable lead over the red zone. The mark of 40 points, which according to the myth guarantees relegation, has already been cracked. Although the MHSC can play free on Sunday evening, bets on “La Paillade” are more than risky.
In the last five competitive games, Montpellier has only scored the maximum number of points once. That victory came in the mandatory surrender against Girondins Bordeaux, bottom of the table in Ligue 1. The most recent match against Stade Brest showed that the success against Bordeaux should not be overrated.
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Will the away misery in Marseille continue?
Despite having a home advantage, Montpellier lost 2-1 to their table neighbor Brest last week. For “La Paillade” it was the 13th league defeat this season. A total of seven of the 13 defeats conceded the MHSC away from home, where Montpellier is 5-2-7 this season.
Head coach Olivier Dall’Oglio’s team is likely to face another defeat in Marseille. The MHSC have not recorded a win at l’OM’s Stade Velodrome since August 2014. Since then, “La Paillade” has even lost five of the last eight away games against Olympique Marseille.
Betting friends who nevertheless want to place a bet on the guests in Marseille vs. Montpellier can currently tap betting odds of 6.25 if they are successful. Olivier Dall’Oglio will be without Thibault Tamas and Mihailo Ristic for the match on the Côte d’Azur. There are no further failures to be lamented in the ranks of the guests.
Estimated formation of Montpellier:
Omlin – Souquet, Sakho, Esteve, Zambia – Chotard, Ferri – Mavididi, Savanier, Mollet – Germain
Last matches of Montpellier:
Our Marseille – Montpellier tip in odds comparison April 10th, 2022 – halftime / final score
Marseille – Montpellier Direct comparison / H2H balance
Marseille and Montpellier meet for the 75th time in all competitions. Two of the previous 74 matches between the two clubs have taken place this season. Marseille not only won the league game in the first half of Ligue 1, but also beat Montpellier HSC in the cup.
Overall, l’OM is 33-23-17 after 74 matches against Montpellier. The “Phocéens” have not lost their last six competitive games against Montpellier since November 2018. Marseille has been unbeaten at home against MHSC since August 2014.
Statistics highlights for Marseille vs Montpellier
Betting Base Prediction & Marseille-Montpellier Tip
The hosts from Marseille are currently one of the best-formed teams in France. L’OM hasn’t just caused a sensation on the international stage, the “Phocéens” also knew how to impress on a national level. Because the competition stumbled, Marseille has at least reinforced second place in Ligue 1 and, like leaders PSG, is on course for the CL 2022/23.
With a comfortable win against “ASSE” last week, Marseille are aiming for their fourth league win in a row this weekend. Opponent Montpellier HSC comes in handy, after all, Marseille has not lost a competitive game against “La Paillade” for some time. Added to this is the fact that Marseille has beaten their opponents on Sunday twice this season.
Key facts – Marseille vs. Montpellier tip
- Marseille have won their last six competitive games in all competitions.
- Montpellier has only won two of their last nine competitive games.
- Marseille has been unbeaten against Montpellier since November 2018.
The guests stumbled recently and have only won two of the last nine competitive games in all competitions. It would therefore be all the more surprising if Marseille’s winning streak ended against the weak MHSC of all people. We expect a one-sided match, which is clearly dominated by l’OM even before the change of sides.
We place ours at Marseille vs. Montpellier Tip on betting odds of 2.37 on “HT/FT: 1/1”. We use six out of ten possible units for this. The best odds for the HT/FT bet on the host are offered by the bookmaker Bet365, tested by the betting base.
Marseille vs Montpellier – best odds Ligue 1
victory Marseilles: 1.53 @Betway
Tie: 4.50 @Bet365
victory Montpellier: 6.25 @Bet365
Odds probabilities for win Marseille / draw / win Montpellier:
Marseille-Montpellier – Betting odds * & other interesting bets at a glance:
Over / Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals: 1.72 @Bet365
Under 2.5 goals: 2.10 @Bet365
Both teams score
YES: 1.90 @ Bet365
NO: 1.90 @Bet365
Betting odds as of: 04/09/2022, 12:42 p.m
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